Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.1pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 14%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +43%
2.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.16
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.09.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
30.06.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
21.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 HT 2-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
10.09.2022 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus squeezed past Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paide Linnameeskond at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 63% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 37%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 54%, draw 24%, Parnu JK Vaprus 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5
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