Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.20
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
26.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
10.06.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
5-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju cruised past FC Kuressaare 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 61% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 39%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.50 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 57%, draw 21%, FC Kuressaare 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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