Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.86
-13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
26.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.08.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
10.06.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
23.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
10.09.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju swept aside FC Kuressaare 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 64% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 36%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.50 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 56%, draw 22%, FC Kuressaare 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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