JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
38%
3.72
Away
35%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.4pp
38%
Draw
23%
+14.4pp
35%
Away Win
54%
-18.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -15%
0.87/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.02
-25% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
30.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
19.08.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 6-3 HT 3-3 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.03.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
12.11.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 38% / 35%) promised a tight game; Paide Linnameeskond found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 43% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 57%, shots finished 18-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.50 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 27%, draw 38%, Paide Linnameeskond 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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