Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+1.6pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
2.05/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.34
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-3D-0L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
19.08.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 6-3 HT 3-3 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.03.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
12.11.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
31.07.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 2-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0-1
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Paide Linnameeskond carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 66% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 34%, shots finished 23-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 0.83 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 63%, draw 18%, JK Tammeka Tartu 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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