Nomme United 0-2 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme United Nomme United ESTK
03.11.2021 Nomme United Nomme United 2-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST2
22.10.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
04.03.2021 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
0-2
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev beat Nomme United 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tallinna Kalev found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nomme United had 56% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 44%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nomme United and 2.25 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nomme United 0-2 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tallinna Kalev win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 36%, draw 25%, Tallinna Kalev 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tallinna Kalev), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tallinna Kalev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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