Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/2.00
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -72%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl and Awassa Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Awassa Kenema at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 41% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 59%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema?

Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Awassa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 32%, draw 27%, Awassa Kenema 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Awassa Kenema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Awassa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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