Kanada (K) 0-1 Arjantin (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-47.0pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.2pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.08/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.12/2.89
+13% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
22.4 Crosses 3.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Arjantin (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.64 xG 0.15
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
413 Passes 189
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 3
29 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) HAZ
06.08.2008 Arjantin (K) Arjantin (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Arjantin (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin (K) edged past Kanada (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Arjantin (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kanada (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kanada (K) and 0.50 for Arjantin (K).

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Arjantin (K)?

Kanada (K) 0-1 Arjantin (K) in the Friendlies on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Arjantin (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 33%, draw 33%, Arjantin (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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