Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polonia Warszawa v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
2-1
HT 2-0
Polonia Warszawa
POL2
Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Polonia Warszawa squeezed past Pogon Siedlce 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonia Warszawa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 46% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 54%, shots finished 10-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 1.67 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce?
Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 48%, draw 25%, Pogon Siedlce 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.