URA 4-0 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 Pick
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.6
No
57%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.5pp
57%
BTTS No
66%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.39/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.20
-24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME URA
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bright Stars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.09.2024 Bright Stars Bright Stars 0-1 HT 0-1 URA URA UGA
01.02.2022 Bright Stars Bright Stars 0-3 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME URA
4-0
AWAY Bright Stars
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH URA vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA cruised past Bright Stars 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, URA had 39% of the ball to Bright Stars's 61%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, URA had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for URA and 0.00 for Bright Stars.

What was the final score of URA vs Bright Stars?

URA 4-0 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split URA 56%, draw 23%, Bright Stars 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (URA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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