Bright Stars 0-1 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

Bright Stars
0-1 HT 0-1
URA
📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bright Stars vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bright Stars v URA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.99/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.65
+23% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +93%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bright Stars vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bright Stars
0W-0D-1L
AWAY URA
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
01.02.2022 Bright Stars Bright Stars 0-3 URA URA UGA
POST-MATCH Bright Stars vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA squeezed past Bright Stars 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bright Stars at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Bright Stars vs URA?

Bright Stars 0-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bright Stars vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bright Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bright Stars 49%, draw 28%, URA 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bright Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bright Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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