BUL 1-1 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.68
Over 2.5
33%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.88
No
66%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
49%
-15.3pp
66%
BTTS No
51%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 32%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.68/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+33% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kampala City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.12.2021 Kampala City Kampala City 3-1 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
1-1
AWAY Kampala City
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BUL vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and Kampala City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was BUL at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, BUL had 49% of the ball to Kampala City's 51%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of BUL vs Kampala City?

BUL 1-1 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split BUL 50%, draw 26%, Kampala City 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BUL), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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