Mbarara City 0-0 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.51
+50% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.04.2022 Mbarara City Mbarara City 3-0 HT 1-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
26.11.2021 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-0 HT 0-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbarara City
0-0
AWAY Uganda Police
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City and Uganda Police played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mbarara City at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mbarara City had 52% of the ball to Uganda Police's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mbarara City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mbarara City and 0.00 for Uganda Police.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Uganda Police?

Mbarara City 0-0 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 54%, draw 27%, Uganda Police 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mbarara City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mbarara City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
20 Sep 2024
16:00 BUL vs Kampala City Analysis →
16:00 Bright Stars vs URA Analysis →
16:00 Maroons vs Wakiso Giants Analysis →