Envigado 2-0 Real Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 9 May 2024

Envigado
2-0 HT 1-0
Real Cartagena
📅09/05/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2024

Envigado vs Real Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Real Cartagena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Cartagena EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.83/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.84
+81% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Real Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado saw off Real Cartagena 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Envigado as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Real Cartagena?

Envigado 2-0 Real Cartagena in the Colombia - Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Real Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Envigado 46%, draw 30%, Real Cartagena 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Envigado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Envigado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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