Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 48%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.48/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.00
+68% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.83 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
162 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
23.07.2014 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pereira 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fortaleza CEIF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 0.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Cup on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 33%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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