Deportivo Pereira 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.37/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.23
+2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.7 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
23.07.2014 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
2-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.83 xG 0.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
162 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira saw off Fortaleza CEIF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Pereira as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 38% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 62%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.83 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Deportivo Pereira 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 47%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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