Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.06/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.08
-23% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
17.1 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.15 xG 2.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
252 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
03.04.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
03.09.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
27.08.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLK
16.08.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.04.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 7-1 HT 3-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
1.31 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
266 Passes 240
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca and Atletico Nacional played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 53% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 47%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 3.00 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Nacional?

Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 34%, draw 29%, Atletico Nacional 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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