Junior 2-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.64/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.36
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
17.1 Crosses 11.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 210
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.02.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
18.09.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
26.03.2022 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
02.11.2021 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
12.04.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
2.33 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
476 Passes 363
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior got the better of Deportivo Pasto 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 44%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.33 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Junior and 0.83 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?

Junior 2-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Junior 55%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pasto 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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