Santos de Guapiles 0-3 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
48%
Away Win
61%
-13.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 66%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
0.72/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.98
-35% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos de Guapiles
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
24.09.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 4-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
27.07.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-1 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.03.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 0-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
15.01.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-5 HT 0-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
14.08.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense cruised past Santos de Guapiles 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.50 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense?

Santos de Guapiles 0-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 24%, draw 28%, Alajuelense 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
9 May 2024
00:00 Guanacasteca vs Perez Zeledon Analysis →
03:00 CS Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose Analysis →
05:30 CS Herediano vs Puntarenas FC Analysis →