Diriangen 1-0 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.18
Over 2.5
62%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-8.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
2.31/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.50
+0% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Jalapa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-2 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
29.04.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 1-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
14.03.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
26.11.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
21.09.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-3 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
13.04.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
1-0
AWAY Jalapa
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen nicked a narrow win over Jalapa 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Diriangen had 65% of the ball to Jalapa's 35%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Diriangen and 0.67 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Jalapa?

Diriangen 1-0 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 65%, draw 19%, Jalapa 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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