Jalapa 1-0 Diriangen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+9.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-15.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.5pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriangen EU Bookmakers 70%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.30/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.03
+46% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
199 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Diriangen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Diriangen Diriangen 2-1 HT 0-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
26.11.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
21.09.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 0-3 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
13.04.2023 Diriangen Diriangen 2-2 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
30.10.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 1-1 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
11.08.2022 Diriangen Diriangen 0-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Diriangen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa squeezed past Diriangen 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Diriangen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jalapa and 1.67 for Diriangen.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Diriangen?

Jalapa 1-0 Diriangen in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Diriangen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 23%, draw 27%, Diriangen 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Diriangen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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