Walter Ferretti 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
2.21/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.08
+7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Ocotal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 0-0 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.09.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
20.04.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
26.02.2023 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 3-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
27.11.2022 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal 1-1 HT 0-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
22.08.2022 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal Deportivo Ocotal NİK
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Deportivo Ocotal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walter Ferretti nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Ocotal 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Walter Ferretti as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Ocotal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.83 for Deportivo Ocotal.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Walter Ferretti 1-0 Deportivo Ocotal in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Deportivo Ocotal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 55%, draw 24%, Deportivo Ocotal 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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