Al Akhdoud 2-3 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
56%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.42
2-3 Goals
34%
2.12
4-5 Goals
31%
2.52
6+ Goals
14%
5.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 70%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
0.46/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.17
+49% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
10.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
14.8 Crosses 21.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Nassr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.13 xG 2.01
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
227 Passes 614
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
2-3
AWAY Al Nassr
0.90 xG 1.74
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
226 Passes 585
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr squeezed past Al Akhdoud 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 32% of the ball to Al Nassr's 68%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.90 to 1.74.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr?

Al Akhdoud 2-3 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 21%, draw 23%, Al Nassr 56%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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