Al Fayha 2-2 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 30% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.24/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.39
-16% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
15.1 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.98 xG 1.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 Passes 381
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
09.05.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
30.12.2022 Al Fateh Al Fateh 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
13.01.2022 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
21.08.2021 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
04.08.2020 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
2-2
AWAY Al Fateh
1.01 xG 2.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
425 Passes 518
86% Pass Accuracy 92%
14 Box Touches 31
3 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha and Al Fateh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 46% of the ball to Al Fateh's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.01 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fayha had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Fayha and 0.50 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?

Al Fayha 2-2 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fayha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 39%, draw 26%, Al Fateh 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fayha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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