Bergnäsets 1-0 Bodens BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodens BK EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergnäsets
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Bodens BK
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
14.09.2024 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 0-6 HT 0-2 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
12.04.2024 Bodens BK Bodens BK 2-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Bodens BK Bodens BK 2-1 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
18.09.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-1 HT 2-0 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
04.06.2021 Bodens BK Bodens BK 3-1 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bergnäsets vs Bodens BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergnäsets nicked a narrow win over Bodens BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bodens BK at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bodens BK led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Bergnäsets and 2.80 for Bodens BK.

What was the final score of Bergnäsets vs Bodens BK?

Bergnäsets 1-0 Bodens BK in the İSÇD4 on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergnäsets vs Bodens BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bergnäsets 35%, draw 22%, Bodens BK 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bodens BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →