Bodens BK 2-0 Bergnäsets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodens BK EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergnäsets EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.13/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.21
+9% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodens BK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Bergnäsets
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.10.2022 Bodens BK Bodens BK 2-1 HT 0-1 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
18.09.2021 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets 2-1 HT 2-0 Bodens BK Bodens BK İSÇ4
04.06.2021 Bodens BK Bodens BK 3-1 HT 1-0 Bergnäsets Bergnäsets İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Bodens BK vs Bergnäsets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodens BK saw off Bergnäsets 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bodens BK as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bodens BK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bodens BK and 1.33 for Bergnäsets.

What was the final score of Bodens BK vs Bergnäsets?

Bodens BK 2-0 Bergnäsets in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodens BK vs Bergnäsets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bodens BK 49%, draw 29%, Bergnäsets 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodens BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodens BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
12 Apr 2024
20:00 Hassleholms IF vs Rappe Analysis →
20:30 Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK Analysis →
20:30 Ahlafors IF vs IFK Skövde Analysis →