Ahlafors IF 3-2 IFK Skövde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
34%
-11.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Skövde EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.37
-18% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Skövde
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.08.2021 IFK Skövde IFK Skövde 3-3 HT 2-2 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
09.06.2021 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Skövde IFK Skövde İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs IFK Skövde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF edged past IFK Skövde 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Ahlafors IF and 1.50 for IFK Skövde.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs IFK Skövde?

Ahlafors IF 3-2 IFK Skövde in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs IFK Skövde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 50%, draw 27%, IFK Skövde 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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