Grebbestads IF 1-3 Lidköpings FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
42%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.2pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.1pp
42%
Away Win
31%
+11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.64/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.15
-16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grebbestads IF
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Lidköpings FK
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.09.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
05.05.2023 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-3 HT 0-2 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 3-6 HT 1-2 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
21.08.2021 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK İSÇ4
30.07.2021 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 4-1 HT 2-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grebbestads IF
1-3
AWAY Lidköpings FK
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lidköpings FK beat Grebbestads IF 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 19% / 42%) promised a tight game; Lidköpings FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grebbestads IF had 51% of the ball to Lidköpings FK's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Grebbestads IF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Grebbestads IF and 2.60 for Lidköpings FK.

What was the final score of Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK?

Grebbestads IF 1-3 Lidköpings FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grebbestads IF vs Lidköpings FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lidköpings FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grebbestads IF 39%, draw 19%, Lidköpings FK 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lidköpings FK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lidköpings FK) ✓ Over 2.5
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