Nürnberg 1-2 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 May 2025

Nürnberg
1-2 HT 0-0
Köln
📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Nürnberg vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 69%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.67/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.57
-27% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
12.2 Crosses 16.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nürnberg vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 2.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
416 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Köln Köln 3-1 HT 3-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
18.02.2012 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL1
11.09.2011 Köln Köln 1-2 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
03.04.2011 Köln Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL1
06.11.2010 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-1 HT 2-1 Köln Köln AL1
08.05.2010 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1

Nürnberg 1-2 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
1-2
AWAY Köln
0.66 xG 2.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
339 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 43
7 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln squeezed past Nürnberg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Nürnberg had 48% of the ball to Köln's 52%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.66 to 2.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Köln's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nürnberg and 1.17 for Köln.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Köln?

Nürnberg 1-2 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 22%, draw 27%, Köln 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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