FC Fredericia 5-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.32
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
23%
3.31
6+
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.5
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.54
X/2
11%
8.34
X/X
12%
4.99
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
13%
6.38
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.71/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.31
+2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
16.4 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hvidovre
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.27 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
27.02.2025 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
25.08.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
29.10.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
18.09.2022 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-2 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
18.05.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
5-1
AWAY Hvidovre
1.93 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
386 Passes 466
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia ran out comfortable winners over Hvidovre 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Fredericia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 46% of the ball to Hvidovre's 54%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.93 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.67 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs Hvidovre?

FC Fredericia 5-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 41%, draw 27%, Hvidovre 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✗ Under 2.5
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