Roskilde 1-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
48%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.23
Over Pick
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.42
2-3
36%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.77
6+
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
7%
24.2
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
7%
6.03
X/2
22%
5.87
X/X
7%
5.73
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
19%
3.49
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · X/2 at 5.87 — our 22% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
48%
Away Win
39%
+9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.11/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.24
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
23.4 Crosses 18.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Hobro IK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.68 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
413 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2025 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
04.10.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 4-1 HT 1-1 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
10.08.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 0-2 HT 0-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
13.10.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAK
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde and Hobro IK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hobro IK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hobro IK led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Roskilde and 1.75 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Hobro IK?

Roskilde 1-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 32%, draw 20%, Hobro IK 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hobro IK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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