Roskilde 0-2 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

Roskilde
0-2 HT 0-1
Hobro IK
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Roskilde vs Hobro IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
30%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.88
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
X/1
10%
6.25
X/2
15%
5.37
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.14
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roskilde v Hobro IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roskilde EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.49/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.00
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +67%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
29.0 Crosses 19.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Roskilde vs Hobro IK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roskilde
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hobro IK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
The Meetings
13.10.2015 Roskilde Roskilde 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAK

Roskilde 0-2 Hobro IK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roskilde
0-2
AWAY Hobro IK
0.31 xG 2.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
457 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roskilde vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK beat Roskilde 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roskilde had 59% of the ball to Hobro IK's 41%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.31 to 2.24.

What was the final score of Roskilde vs Hobro IK?

Roskilde 0-2 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roskilde vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Roskilde 32%, draw 26%, Hobro IK 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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