Vendsyssel FF 2-1 Kolding IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.77
6+ Goals
12%
16.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.77 — our 26% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
9%
5.88
X/2
11%
4.77
X/X
7%
4.72
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
23%
3.22
2/X
10%
14.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.03
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
23.3 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kolding IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 0.96
52% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-4 HT 2-2 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
13.04.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
16.02.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF HAZ
12.11.2023 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-1 HT 0-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
23.08.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
11.05.2021 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 3-0 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
2-1
AWAY Kolding IF
1.73 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
255 Passes 257
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Kolding IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vendsyssel FF squeezed past Kolding IF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kolding IF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 51% of the ball to Kolding IF's 49%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.73 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vendsyssel FF had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 0.83 for Kolding IF.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Kolding IF?

Vendsyssel FF 2-1 Kolding IF in the Denmark 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Kolding IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 31%, draw 25%, Kolding IF 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kolding IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN1 More Denmark 1st Division
10 Aug 2024
15:00 Roskilde vs Hobro IK Analysis →
18:00 Odense vs Hillerod Analysis →