Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
52%
Away Win
63%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 67%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.97/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.89
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 HT 2-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
22.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
25.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
19.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
0-3
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 41% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 59%, shots finished 5-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.50 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 23%, draw 25%, FC Flora Tallinn 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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