FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.55/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.37
+13% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
25.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
19.05.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4-1
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn cruised past Harju Jalgpallikool 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 62% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 38%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.67 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Flora Tallinn 4-1 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 62%, draw 22%, Harju Jalgpallikool 16%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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