JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +19%
1.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.08
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
12.07.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
11.05.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.04.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.11.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 35% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 65%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 0.83 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 42%, draw 25%, FC Kuressaare 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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