JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.86/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.74
+10% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0W-4D-2L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
31.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.05.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.10.2022 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-2 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
30.08.2022 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-2
AWAY FC Kuressaare
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare edged past JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was JK Tammeka Tartu at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 65% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 35%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 50%, draw 22%, FC Kuressaare 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
13 Apr 2024
17:00 Trans Narva vs Tallinna Kalev Analysis →
19:00 FC Levadia vs Nomme United Analysis →