Nomme JK Kalju 6-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.8pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.0pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +1%
2.37/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.49
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
27.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
10.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev ESTK
05.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 55% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 45%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.50 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nomme JK Kalju 6-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 64%, draw 21%, Tallinna Kalev 15%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5
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