Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.19/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.88
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
27.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
10.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev ESTK
05.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off Tallinna Kalev 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 49% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 51%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.50 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 25%, draw 26%, Nomme JK Kalju 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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