FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.94/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.08
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
06.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-3 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
25.02.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTSK
01.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
23.07.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-4 HT 0-3 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
03.06.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-1
AWAY Trans Narva
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn beat Trans Narva 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 56% of the ball to Trans Narva's 44%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 2.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 48%, draw 27%, Trans Narva 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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