Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
44%
Away Win
56%
-12.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 61%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -28%
1.47/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.04
+31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev ESTK
05.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.05.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
04.03.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
12.11.2022 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
0-2
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off Tallinna Kalev 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 51% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 49%, shots finished 10-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.33 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Tallinna Kalev 0-2 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 31%, draw 25%, Nomme JK Kalju 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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