FC Kuressaare 2-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 60%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.65
+22% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +82%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-1D-5L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
04.08.2023 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
14.05.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn ESTK
08.04.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
22.10.2022 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
2-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare and FC Flora Tallinn couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Flora Tallinn at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 41% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 59%, shots finished 12-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.83 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

FC Kuressaare 2-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 27%, draw 23%, FC Flora Tallinn 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ BTTS Yes
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