Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
70%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +15%
2.36/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.20
+1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.06.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
27.04.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
10.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev ESTK
05.11.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.07.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
3-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju saw off Tallinna Kalev 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 59% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 41%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.67 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Nomme JK Kalju 3-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 58%, draw 24%, Tallinna Kalev 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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