JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +29%
1.54/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.33
-17% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
11.05.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-0 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.04.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
01.11.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.09.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
31.07.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
2-1
AWAY FC Kuressaare
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 52% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 48%, shots finished 14-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 1.17 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 51%, draw 25%, FC Kuressaare 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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