Marquense 1-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.3pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.71/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.04
-40% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Municipal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
24.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
19.08.2024 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marquense
1-1
AWAY Municipal
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense and Municipal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Marquense had 53% of the ball to Municipal's 47%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marquense and 0.50 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Municipal?

Marquense 1-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Marquense 34%, draw 32%, Municipal 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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