Municipal 0-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.94/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.72
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Marquense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
19.08.2024 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal and Marquense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Municipal at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal and 0.00 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Marquense?

Municipal 0-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Municipal 61%, draw 20%, Marquense 18%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Over 2.5
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