Xinabajul 1-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.21/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.17
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
04.11.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 5-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
19.08.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
24.03.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 2-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
19.11.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
14.05.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul and Guastatoya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Xinabajul and 1.17 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Guastatoya?

Xinabajul 1-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 40%, draw 33%, Guastatoya 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xinabajul), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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