Guastatoya vs Xinabajul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guastatoya v Xinabajul — Team-Based Signals
Guastatoya vs Xinabajul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Xinabajul
GUAT
1-0
HT 0-0
Guastatoya
GUAT
2-0
HT 0-0
Xinabajul
GUAT
Guastatoya 1-2 Xinabajul — Actual Match Statistics
Xinabajul squeezed past Guastatoya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guastatoya at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Guastatoya had 62% of the ball to Xinabajul's 38%, shots finished 16-9.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guastatoya and 1.00 for Xinabajul.
What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Xinabajul?
Guastatoya 1-2 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Xinabajul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 57%, draw 24%, Xinabajul 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Guastatoya) went the other way.