Guastatoya 5-1 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.82
Draw
37%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
51%
-15.2pp
37%
Draw
26%
+10.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.72/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.07
+30% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Xinabajul
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.08.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
24.03.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 2-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
19.11.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
14.05.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
10.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
19.03.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya ran out comfortable winners over Xinabajul 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 37% / 28% — and on the day Guastatoya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guastatoya and 1.00 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Xinabajul?

Guastatoya 5-1 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 36%, draw 37%, Xinabajul 28%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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