Xinabajul 1-0 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.31
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
24.03.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-1 HT 2-1 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
19.11.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
14.05.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
10.05.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
19.03.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 4-1 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
30.01.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xinabajul edged past Guastatoya 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Xinabajul as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xinabajul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xinabajul and 1.17 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Guastatoya?

Xinabajul 1-0 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 50%, draw 28%, Guastatoya 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xinabajul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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